Water Balance

Unfortunately, we missed the chance for a better scenario several years ago.
But hey – have a consolation prize.

A little chocolate to sweeten your naivety?
Take a look at a more realistic level.

Oh – you still believe in a perfect world?

Did you really think there was a better scenario?
You dreamer, you.

Unfortunately, we can’t turn back time.
The past is gone for good.

Can’t handle reality?
It’s okay – we’ve got something to help you.

As temperatures rise, more precipitation falls as rain rather than snow. This water is no longer stored in the snowpack but runs off – and is then missing from summer flows. For now, melting glaciers are compensating for what’s lost.

If drought lowers groundwater levels, they generally recover the following year.

But the water that remains becomes warmer, and water quality declines. Good news for bacteria. Bad news for fish.

  • Glacier meltwater can enable higher summer electricity production at hydropower plants in some regions in the short term. continue to Energy Production

  • High water temperatures alter oxygen and nutrient availability for fish and other aquatic organisms, causing stress. continue to Fish Mortality and Species Extinction

  • The contribution of glaciers to summer runoff is temporarily disproportionately large. We are, in effect, receiving an advance payment. back to Glacier Retreat

  • Increasing water scarcity can lead to local conflicts between agriculture and other water users. continue to Agriculture

  • Heat increases water temperatures in bodies of water, albeit with a time delay. back to Heat

  • Changes in permafrost influence subsurface groundwater flows. back to Permafrost

  • Trees are under stress due to water scarcity. Some tree species begin to die off locally. continue to Tree Vitality

  • Without precipitation, water levels in rivers and lakes fall – especially where little or no meltwater flows in. back to Drought

  • Changes in water volume and temperature lead to a decline in biodiversity. continue to Biodiversity

Mountain snow cover melts earlier in the year and is absent in summer. Without climate action, the Rhine by Basel could carry only half as much water after a dry summer.

Freight transport by ship would quite literally run aground.

At the same time, rivers will carry more water in winter than before. Groundwater levels will also fluctuate more strongly.

  • Drought and heat mean less snow and, in the long term, less glacier meltwater – reducing runoff and hydropower productivity. continue to Energy Production

  • Rising water temperatures and shrinking habitats lead to fish die-offs in many water bodies. continue to Fish Mortality and Species Extinction

  • From the middle of the century, the contribution of glaciers to total runoff may decline by up to half. back to Glacier Retreat

  • Water scarcity can lead to bans on the extraction of irrigation water from rivers and streams. This jeopardizes crop yields. continue to Agriculture

  • Lower soil moisture reduces evaporation and soil cooling. Without this cooling effect, heatwaves can intensify further. back to Heat

  • Meltwater from thawing permafrost can contaminate rivers and drinking water sources with pollutants. back to Permafrost

  • Water shortages make trees more vulnerable to disease and pests. Low soil moisture hampers natural regeneration and reforestation. Mortality increases locally to regionally across many tree species. continue to Tree Vitality

  • If heavy rainfall occurs after a longer dry period, the dry soils cannot absorb the water. Flooding results. back to Drought

  • Warmer water favours invasive species that benefit from altered conditions and displace native species. continue to Biodiversity

The future climate brings both extreme floods and extreme low flows, but not in the same way everywhere.

In rain-dominated catchments, peak flows may be up to 50% higher, while low flows may drop to half their previous levels. Flows in meltwater-dominated areas will be less affected.

In hot summers, surface water temperatures of 24–27°C may become the norm. Bacteria and blue-green algae thrive in warmth, and further degrade water quality.

In the Swiss Plateau, water scarcity will become more frequent – exacerbated by rising demand.

  • If water becomes too warm, the cooling capacity of nuclear power plants declines. They must reduce output, or shut down entirely. continue to Energy Production

  • Extreme temperatures and the drying up of smaller water bodies lead to mass mortality of fish and aquatic organisms. continue to Fish Mortality and Species Extinction

  • By the end of the century, glacier melt will contribute very little to runoff. New reservoirs and hydroelectric power plants could be built in areas of glacier retreat. back to Glacier Retreat

  • Because drinking water supply takes priority, irrigation bans become necessary during acute water shortages. This is devastating for agriculture. continue to Agriculture

  • Dried-out soils absorb less water during heavy precipitation. If most of it runs off the surface, this can lead to flooding. back to Heat

  • Thawing permafrost can redirect or alter groundwater flows, with far-reaching effects on water availability and spring quality. back to Permafrost

  • Water scarcity leads to stress and tree mortality. Insufficient soil moisture hampers reforestation. Mortality of many tree species continues to rise. Forestry faces major challenges. continue to Tree Vitality

  • When there is no rain, streams and rivers run dry, as does the soil. Because they can absorb almost no water in this state, a single heavy rainfall event is enough to cause rivers to burst their banks. back to Drought

  • Changes in runoff regimes and water quality intensify biodiversity loss in aquatic ecosystems, affecting both flora and fauna. continue to Biodiversity

That's it. RIP.

That's a bit too much.
Maybe go down a level?

Got it – you're really into extremes.

Game over.
Try a different level.

That extreme? You’ll find the matching soundtrack here.

We’re done with this planet.
On to the next!

Solutionsfor: Water Balance

Healthy water bodies are more resilient to climate change. Protection against pollution, restrictions on water withdrawal, regulation of flow fluctuations from hydropower plants, and renaturalization all contribute.

Water-saving measures, public awareness campaigns, and the development of cantonal climate adaptation strategies help as well.

Cantons and municipalities can also prepare by diversifying water supplies, increasing storage capacity for drinking and process water, and protecting groundwater reserves or artificially replenishing them.

Additionally, multi-purpose reservoirs – for example new installations in glacier retreat areas – can mitigate the impacts of drought.

Planning all these measures requires up-to-date data and forecasts, for example on river water temperatures, runoff rates, and groundwater levels.